As an Insider with The Baseball Handicapper you will have access to our Best Bets and the write-ups by logging into our website under the My Account page. You will also receive an email with the full write-up on each Best Bet if you don’t want to visit our website. Below is an example of each from May 19th.
Sample Write-up – As Seen by Logging Into the My Account Page
After you log in you will see all Pending Best Bets that have not been graded with a final score. As you can see, we make it very clear with game we are taking as a Best Bet. In this example, we took Washington for a 2-unit bet.
Sample Write-up – Sent via Email
Dear Insider:
2 Best Bets for tonight. This concludes Wednesday. Best Bets for Thursday will be available tomorrow by 12 Noon ET.
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Best Bet – 2 Units
**WASHINGTON** -1.07 (Lannan) vs. Seattle (Bedard) 7:05 PM ET
Best Bet – 2 Units
**ARIZONA** -1.18 (Kennedy) vs. Kansas City (Francis) 8:10 PM ET
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Best Bet – 2 Units
**WASHINGTON** -1.07 (Lannan) vs. Seattle (Bedard) 7:05 PM ET
Current Series: Game 2 of 3 (Was 6-5)
SEA-Bedard-L 3.16 ERA / 1.17 WHIP Overall (2.52 / 1.09 on the Road)
WAS-Lannan-L 3.52 ERA / 1.39 WHIP Overall (1.84 / 1.23 at Home)
Background:
Seattle is now 37-36 and has split their last 12 games. On the Road they are 16-18 and have split their last 6. The Mariners are 7-12 versus Left Handed starters including 4-6 on the Road.
Washington is 36-37 and has now won 9 of 10. At Home they are 20-13 and have won 8 of 9. The Nationals are 12-9 versus Left Handed starters including 9-2 at Home.
The Mariners are 8-5 with Erik Bedard on the mound including 4-2 on the Road. The Lefty has not allowed more than 3 Earned Runs in any of his last 10 outings and 8 of those have been quality starts. Bedard is coming off an excellent performance at Home where he allowed 5 Hits and 0 Walks without allowing a run over 7 innings at Home against the Angels. He has not started against Washington since 2008.
The Nationals are 9-6 behind John Lannan including 5-2 at Home. The Washington Lefty has allowed more than 2 runs in only 2 of his last 10 starts with 7 of those qualifying as quality starts. He has allowed 4 Earned Runs over his last 5 starts (33+ innings) for a 1.08 ERA. This will be Lannan’s first career start against Seattle.
TBH Opinion:
Washington pulled out last night’s contest in dramatic fashion with a 3 run walk-off Home Run capping a 5 run rally in the bottom of the 9th. One could say the real hero last night was the National’s bullpen which pitched 5 scoreless innings to keep Washington in the game. This is now the 7th consecutive game the Nationals have scored 4 runs or more. Two outstanding (in 2011) Lefties face off tonight and both are pitching well. With a 9-2 record at Home, the Nats have had good success against Lefties. Washington still has the momentum edge and my Math Model makes this game a bargain at Pick 'em.
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Best Bet – 2 Units
**ARIZONA** -1.18 (Kennedy) vs. Kansas City (Francis) 8:10 PM ET
Current Series: Game 2 of 3 (Ari 7-2)
ARI-Kennedy-R 2.98 ERA / 1.05 WHIP Overall (2.40 / 1.09 On the Road)
Kan-Francis-L 4.83 ERA / 1.46 WHP Overall (3.35 / 1.23 at Home)
Background:
Arizona is 40-34 and is in First Place in the NL West and is 10-10 over their last 20 ball games. On the Road the D-Backs are 18-17 and have won 4 in a row. They are 8-11 versus Left Handed starters including 3-6 on the Road.
Kansas City is 31-42 and is in last place in the AL Central and has lost 3 straight and 5 of 6. At Home the Royals are 21-21 and are 2-7 over their last 9. They are 25-32 versus Right Handed starts including 17-17 at Home.
The D-Backs are 10-5 with Ian Kennedy on the mound including 5-1 on the Road. 8 of his last 11 outings have been quality starts and he is coming off a 4 hit, 10 KO, 8 inning performance where he allowed only 1 Unearned run. He has not started against Kansas City since 2007.
The Royals are 5-10 behind Jeff Francis including 4-4 at Home. He has struggled of late allowing 20 Earned Runs over 29+ innings (6.07 ERA) spanning 5 games. He has 1 recent (2010) start against Arizona (as a Rockie) where he only lasted 3+ innings. Current D-Back players are batting .351 lifetime (124 plate appearances) versus Jeff Francis.
TBH Opinion:
I am not particularly fond of laying a price on the Road but this match-up compels me to participate. Francis has not pitched well and Arizona has had good success versus the Lefty. Kennedy is one of the better pitchers in the league and has been very consistent. The D-Backs have been on a roll on the Road, while the Royals are going through a rough patch. My Math Model shows good value here making tonight’s game -1.50.
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Good Luck!
The Baseball Handicapper
Copyright 2011. Redistribution prohibited.
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